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3 Fisman et al. (PloS One, 2013). See details for implementation notes."><meta property="og:description" content="This function implements a least squares estimation method of R0 due to
4 Fisman et al. (PloS One, 2013). See details for implementation notes."><meta property="og:image" content="https://MI2YorkU.github.io/Rnaught/logo.svg"></head><body>
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36 <main id="main" class="col-md-9"><div class="page-header">
37 <img src="../logo.svg" class="logo" alt=""><h1>Incidence Decay and Exponential Adjustment (IDEA)</h1>
38 <small class="dont-index">Source: <a href="https://github.com/MI2YorkU/Rnaught/blob/master/R/idea.R" class="external-link"><code>R/idea.R</code></a></small>
39 <div class="d-none name"><code>idea.Rd</code></div>
40 </div>
41
42 <div class="ref-description section level2">
43 <p>This function implements a least squares estimation method of R0 due to
44 Fisman et al. (PloS One, 2013). See details for implementation notes.</p>
45 </div>
46
47 <div class="section level2">
48 <h2 id="ref-usage">Usage<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#ref-usage"></a></h2>
49 <div class="sourceCode"><pre class="sourceCode r"><code><span><span class="fu">idea</span><span class="op">(</span><span class="va">cases</span>, <span class="va">mu</span><span class="op">)</span></span></code></pre></div>
50 </div>
51
52 <div class="section level2">
53 <h2 id="arguments">Arguments<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#arguments"></a></h2>
54
55
56 <dl><dt id="arg-cases">cases<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#arg-cases"></a></dt>
57 <dd><p>Vector of case counts. The vector must be of length at least two
58 and only contain positive integers.</p></dd>
59
60
61 <dt id="arg-mu">mu<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#arg-mu"></a></dt>
62 <dd><p>Mean of the serial distribution. This must be a positive number.
63 The value should match the case counts in time units. For example, if case
64 counts are weekly and the serial distribution has a mean of seven days,
65 then <code>mu</code> should be set to <code>1</code>. If case counts are daily and the serial
66 distribution has a mean of seven days, then <code>mu</code> should be set to <code>7</code>.</p></dd>
67
68 </dl></div>
69 <div class="section level2">
70 <h2 id="value">Value<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#value"></a></h2>
71 <p>An estimate of the basic reproduction number (R0).</p>
72 </div>
73 <div class="section level2">
74 <h2 id="details">Details<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#details"></a></h2>
75 <p>This method is closely related to that implemented in <code><a href="id.html">id()</a></code>. The method is
76 based on an incidence decay model. The estimate of R0 is the value which
77 minimizes the sum of squares between observed case counts and case counts
78 expected under the model.</p>
79 <p>This method is based on an approximation of the SIR model, which is most
80 valid at the beginning of an epidemic. The method assumes that the mean of
81 the serial distribution (sometimes called the serial interval) is known. The
82 final estimate can be quite sensitive to this value, so sensitivity testing
83 is strongly recommended. Users should be careful about units of time (e.g.,
84 are counts observed daily or weekly?) when implementing.</p>
85 </div>
86 <div class="section level2">
87 <h2 id="references">References<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#references"></a></h2>
88 <p><a href="https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0083622" class="external-link">Fisman et al. (PloS One, 2013)</a></p>
89 </div>
90 <div class="section level2">
91 <h2 id="see-also">See also<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#see-also"></a></h2>
92 <div class="dont-index"><p><code><a href="id.html">id()</a></code> for a similar method.</p></div>
93 </div>
94
95 <div class="section level2">
96 <h2 id="ref-examples">Examples<a class="anchor" aria-label="anchor" href="#ref-examples"></a></h2>
97 <div class="sourceCode"><pre class="sourceCode r"><code><span class="r-in"><span><span class="co"># Weekly data.</span></span></span>
98 <span class="r-in"><span><span class="va">cases</span> <span class="op">&lt;-</span> <span class="fu"><a href="https://rdrr.io/r/base/c.html" class="external-link">c</a></span><span class="op">(</span><span class="fl">1</span>, <span class="fl">4</span>, <span class="fl">10</span>, <span class="fl">5</span>, <span class="fl">3</span>, <span class="fl">4</span>, <span class="fl">19</span>, <span class="fl">3</span>, <span class="fl">3</span>, <span class="fl">14</span>, <span class="fl">4</span><span class="op">)</span></span></span>
99 <span class="r-in"><span></span></span>
100 <span class="r-in"><span><span class="co"># Obtain R0 when the serial distribution has a mean of five days.</span></span></span>
101 <span class="r-in"><span><span class="fu">idea</span><span class="op">(</span><span class="va">cases</span>, mu <span class="op">=</span> <span class="fl">5</span> <span class="op">/</span> <span class="fl">7</span><span class="op">)</span></span></span>
102 <span class="r-out co"><span class="r-pr">#&gt;</span> [1] 1.419546</span>
103 <span class="r-in"><span></span></span>
104 <span class="r-in"><span><span class="co"># Obtain R0 when the serial distribution has a mean of three days.</span></span></span>
105 <span class="r-in"><span><span class="fu">idea</span><span class="op">(</span><span class="va">cases</span>, mu <span class="op">=</span> <span class="fl">3</span> <span class="op">/</span> <span class="fl">7</span><span class="op">)</span></span></span>
106 <span class="r-out co"><span class="r-pr">#&gt;</span> [1] 1.233927</span>
107 </code></pre></div>
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