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- Rnaught is an R package and web application for estimating the - basic reproduction number - of infectious diseases. For information about using this application, view the - Help tab. - To learn more about the package, visit the online - documentation or - GitHub repository. - Technical details about the estimators featured in this project can be found in the reference - article. -
-- The basic reproduction number, denoted R0, is defined as the expected number of infections caused - by a single infectious individual when introduced into a totally susceptible population. It assumes that all - individuals in a given population are susceptible to the disease, and that no preventive measures (such as lockdowns - or vaccinations) have been enforced. It is a useful indicator of the transmissibility of an infectious disease during - the early stages of its spread and detection. -
-- If R0 < 1, the disease will eventually die out. On the other hand, if - R0 > 1, the disease will spread (the higher the R0, the faster this will - happen). Due to uncertainty of known data about the disease, it is difficult to determine R0 - precisely. Therefore, many estimation methods exist, each based on different assumptions and yielding different - estimates. It is the responsibility of users to employ the most appropriate estimator (or suite of estimators) given - the situation at hand. -